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Sunday, 11 December 2011

Cameron's Brussels Veto exposes UKIP's weakness

The unexpected veto by Cameron puts UKIP in an unenviable position, with much of their support coming from members who are 'natural' conservative voters, who support UKIP out of frustration with Tory acquiescence to the EU. The change in the Tories position as they embark upon lessening the UK's ties with the EU leave UKIP with nothing to distinguish them meaningfully from the Tories.

These UKIP 'frustrated' 'conservative' supporters know Labour's response indicates they would not have vetoed the attempt by the EU to put through this new treaty.  The Libdems well known strong support for further integration of the UK into the EU means both they and Labour are going to be in an increasingly weak position as the UK moves further from the mainstream in Europe and towards the inevitability of a referendum on the EU.

The expectation by the leadership of  UKIP that they just had to keep beating the anti EU drum, without offering anything different to the three main parties, is now exposed as a spectacular miscalculation and  highlights the lack of  radical policies and vision to fix British politics by the UKIP leadership. It is not enough in British politics to be a one trick pony, our electorate are far too smart to fall for it.

The UK electorate are in the main EU sceptics, but not to the degree of the UKIP membership, and when the inevitable election comes about,quite possibly now prior to 2015 I believe the Tories will have enacted legislation to enable a referendum on the EU and so secure themselves a strong win at the ballot box.

This will signal the demise of UKIP as they have nothing left in their locker to offer, what an opportunity missed, they could have been the party to force to the front of the political agenda the fixing of British politics by offering radical policies:
1/ Reducing the number of MP's to 300
2/Open primaries
3/ Privatising state assets to reduce debt.

It's not to late for UKIP to offer a radical agenda, there could be 2 + years to go before an election, forcing the real possibility of fixing our politics and the prize of replacing the Libdems as the third party.
This window of opportunity in British politics to fix our corrupt corporate party politics will not come again for many years and surely offers UKIP, if they have the courage, the possibility of up to 10 seats at the next election as the Libdems support crashes and the Tories are elected with a respectable majority

1 comment:

  1. You're missing a critical point... Cameron remains a Europhile and is determined to keep the UK inside the EU.

    He could not get a deal to leave the City of London alone, so he walked away from an exploratory meeting. Nothing more. When the regulation comes he will say there is nothing that can be done, and accept it.

    More power will continue to flow to Brussels as it has since he walked into Downing Street. Nothing will change. More money will go to the IMF to be channelled to the EU bailout fund while Cameron 'talks tough'.

    Anyone thinking the Conservative leadership remains anything other than enthusiatically pro EU is as delusional as those who think Cameron vetoed a treaty in Brussels.